50-60 makes up the majority of ICU with Covid. We are literally 2-3 weeks away from this group having excellent protection.We have vaccinated the older population many of whom , as you point out , have either chosen not to be admitted as part of their advanced care plan or are so frail they wouldn’t be candidates for ICU even if they were admitted. The vast majority of under 60s have not been vaccinated and yet this age group makes up a large proportion of Covid ICU admissions.
I’d argue that we need to make sure that over the next couple of months there are high vaccination rates in the 40 to 60 years age range , especially in ethnic minority and deprived groups , or we risk another surge of ICU admissions by opening up too early.
The supply of vaccines in April was described as being “ lumpy “ by Matt Hancock so it’s anticipated that those in their 40s would get their vaccine some time in May. The current roadmap out of lockdown seems reasonable given that timescale.
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