- Reaction score
There are a few things here...
The current vaccines are effective at preventing infection at around 80% but they are close to 100% effective at preventing hospital admissions.
Even if the new variants (none so far have) are more resistant to preventing infection, that doesn't mean they will not be as effective at preventing hospital admissions.
The vaccine will break the link between cases and hospital admissions. So what is important post vaccine is not to be concerned one iota about the number of cases, but to only act or react on the trends of hospital admissions.
You can see this happening now. Throughout March the number of cases plateaued. Normally, 1-2 weeks after a change in cases, hospital admissions change, then another week or so and deaths change. That's not happening now...cases flat lined in March but admissions and deaths kept on falling.
Once the vulnerable (those who may end up in hospital) are vaccinated then the health care system will be fine and we can all get back to living normally. It's either vaccine or lockdown, not both.
We need to stop being pussies and worrying about what might happen if we get back to normal. Well, the only way we can know what would happen for sure is by getting back to normal ASAP.
I can understand why hyping the impact of vaccination helps the mental preparedness of the country. Whether it's placebo, we may never know. Suspect so.
What worries me is the worry warts and scaremongers hyping the new normal and having everyone vaccinated for no good reason just to conform. Israel has done a great job, but guess which is the most marginalised community, excluded!!!
However, at the back of my mind is the very real possibility that because we locked down too late (after peak infection by my and others [including Witless and Unbalanced and Bonking Bozza] calculations) hospitalisation is down in the second wave not because of vaccination but because of pre-existing immunity (T-cells misunderstood and mounting evidence of efficacy c.f. CV19 antibodies) and so cause-coincidence wrt vaccine will be difficult to separate. Absolute excess deaths were substantially smaller in the 2nd wave than the first, despite the FACT that the timing of the 1st wave was wierd in terms of seasonal death, but the 2nd wave was bang on the peak we normally get in the first month or two of the year!
Anecdote: my most vulnerable rellies survived wave 1, and were ever so cautious in everything they did, not allowing visitors, sanitising anything coming into the house, and did not get infected in wave 1. Not so in the 2nd wave where they both got it and easily recovered. So perhaps that sways my personal thought process, but admittedly a small direct sample population! Sure.
Who knows. Hypotheses only. Jab may be coincidence.
Being cynical, one could say that it gives the powers that be even more time to fill theirs and their cronies pockets.
There is definitely more than a little truth in this, and like just about everything that's happened through the pandemic, cronies will benefit and the poor and marginalised will continue to be shafted.
However, there is likely more to this than meets the eye. Project fear, in full swing here with it's cheerleaders, is basically a little bit like a war. An economic one. Scare folk witless and they won't go and spend their hard earned in Europe. Maximise funds in this country not outwith it. That is why HMG want to confine us to barracks, surely. And in that regard if they told the truth, I'd prefer it.
Portugal is desperate for us to visit the Algarve and spend our hard-earned there. HMG doesn't want it. EndEx... Wierdly the remoaners are responsible for this too