If hospital occupancy is key, why is it the only part of the crisis we have chose not to address.I can buy a lot of what you say. But it doesn’t help with the reality of what we are seeing in hospital admissions. I’ve stopped being much interested in positive tests and the death rate/potential deadliness of the disease is immaterial in the face of our ICU capacity relative to demand. And the problem may well be as much about our capacity as it is about demand. And the virus may be ten times less deadly that forecast, or a million times less. But if it’s making people ill enough to need treatment then it doesn’t matter, does it? Because the consequential deaths from lockdown will just become consequential deaths from our healthcare system collapsing.
I feel like whatever we do, people will die in large number, because of our capacity problems. So I don’t see much point in watching a 20-minute video explaining a point about false positives or whatever that I could have read in 30 seconds (this is why I hate videos). Between 1,000 and 2,000 people a day are entering hospitals with covid symptoms. Or flu symptoms. Or Lily the Pink symptoms. Call it what you want. That many people are going in, they aren’t leaving at the same rate, and 500+ are currently dying of whatever it is you think they’re dying of. Don’t we have to do something to stop that happening? Regardless of Diamond Princess and the like?
That’s what I don’t understand. If you stop intellectualising it, you’re left with numbers going into hospital and numbers coming out and the beds required to support that. All of those numbers are fixed - as in, not forecasts. You can watch them daily. And you can see how measures affect them.
I’m very excited to hear about ways to deal with those numbers and slow the flow into hospital or expand ICU capacity inc doctors. Less interested in arguing over percentage mortality rates, if I’m honest. You could prove to me that Covid wasn’t deadly, unequivocally, but if it still led to people needing lengthy stays in hospital - your point is somewhat moot.
My friend’s husband is finally out of hospital. His white blood count is still very low. They’ve tested him for everything they know that could cause this and can only conclude that it’s Covid-related somehow. He’s only 43 and now he’s immunocompromised. He didn’t come even close to dying but he was in hospital for almost 3 weeks and now he is looking at a very different way of life, at least in the short term and maybe forever. They have no idea what will happen next. But his family, initially worried by the HIV tests and leukaemia tests, are now worried that there are no more tests and he’s still very unwell and all the doctors can say is, we need to monitor him and we need more data. He’s a solid unit of economic production. Or he was. He had Covid, btw. Was admitted because of high temperature and becoming less responsive. Has minor lung damage but they are relatively unscathed and he only needed light oxygen support. It’s his blood.
And why is it a closely kept secret?
We had extra capacity created in spring.
Where has it gone.
Covid to some extent is simply a symptom showing just now run down our health service is.